Tennessee’s Tariff Burden is Set to Skyrocket
The newly released report from Farmers for Free Trade and Trade Partnership Worldwide data paints a concerning picture for Tennessee businesses:
Canada, Mexico, and China account for nearly a third of Tennessee’s $111 billion in total imports in 2024.
Additional tariffs on Canada and Mexico would significantly disrupt trade, as imports from these countries into Tennessee faced just $82 million in tariffs on $21 billion in imports—a historically low effective tariff rate of 0.39% under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).
By contrast, Tennessee companies paid $1.5 billion in tariffs on imports from China in 2024—more than from any other country—due to an average tariff rate of 11.2%.
Tennessee imported $775 million worth of steel and aluminum products in 2024, which could be subject to significant Section 232 tariff increases.
Altogether, the new measures could cost Tennessee over $8 billion annually. For context, the state paid only $2.6 billion in total tariffs on all imports in 2024, meaning the new tariffs could push total tariffs to over $10.6 billion, nearly quadrupling the total tariff burden from the previous year.
Of all U.S. states, Tennessee would be paying the eighth-highest amount in new tariffs.
Tennessee exporters are also at risk, with industries such as whiskey, baked goods, and automotive manufacturing particularly vulnerable to retaliatory tariffs from key trading partners.
Event Highlights:
New Tariff Data Released: Trade Partnership Worldwide presented an analysis indicating that the latest round of tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China could cost Tennessee businesses over $8 billion annually, a massive increase from previous tariff levels.
Panel Discussions: Speakers included:
Dr. Steve Livingston, Professor, Middle Tennessee State University
Jimmy Tosh, CEO, Tosh Farms
Robert Hall, CEO, Ole Smoky Distillery
Matt Millsap, President and Founder, Build Co. Seven, a Nashville Construction Company