According to NBA tracking data, Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry has run an average of 1.58 miles per game on offense during the playoffs. That is more than all but seven players in the playoffs, and more than anybody was running on offense from the Los Angeles Lakers in the Timberwolves’ first-round playoff series.
The Wolves will have to get out their track shoes to guard Curry, especially off the ball, in their second-round playoff matchup against the Warriors that starts tonight at Target Center.
Here are some thoughts about that and other musings I have on the series.
RUNNIN' AROUND
The Wolves will be deploying a committee approach to guarding Curry, as coach Chris Finch said Monday. Last series, there were some tough matchups for guards Mike Conley and Nickeil Alexander-Walker, given the Lakers' strength and size on the perimeter (even if they lacked rim protection). This series, Conley and Alexander-Walker will be part of that committee chasing Curry around voluminous off-ball screens.
Along with Jaden McDaniels, those three are experts at navigating screens without fouling and without “dying” on the screens, as it’s sometimes termed. That means a player gets taken out by a screen and the team has to switch. Anthony Edwards, when he turns up the intensity on defense, can play this way, too, though his screen navigation is inconsistent.
“It's not going to be one person's job alone to do that,” Finch said. “We're lucky to have multiple high-level perimeter defenders. Just the effort and the activity is only part one. You got to have the discipline and the diligence to execute all the things that they do to try to free him up. But it's not going to be just left to Jaden alone.”
SMALL BALL, OR GO BIG WITH RUDY?
Like the Lakers, the Warriors are another team that plays small, with the team relying on Draymond Green to shoulder the load of its post defense and rebounding while interspersing Kevon Looney or Quinten Post down low. As Finch said, playing small can be the Warriors’ “superpower.” So like last series, it leaves the Wolves with the question of how they will utilize Gobert.
The Wolves went small when they needed to against the Lakers, specifically to close Games 3 and 4 when a frontcourt of Naz Reid and Julius Randle spaced the floor and allowed the Wolves to pull away from the Lakers late. Then Gobert used his size to dominate Game 5 with 27 points and 24 rebounds.
“He's always an X-factor for us,” Finch said of Gobert. “When he's playing at his best, he takes us to another level. No doubt about that. This is a small-ball team. That's their superpower. It's what they go to when they need to become the best version of themselves, and you got to find ways to punish that. Certainly Rudy's activity on both ends of the floor, in around the rim and getting offensive rebounds and all that stuff is going to be huge.”
What version of Gobert the Wolves get will go a long way toward determining how they deploy their lineups, especially late in games. Of course, there is the extra dimension of Green vs. Gobert, after Green put Gobert in a chokehold at Golden State last season. As if Gobert needed any extra motivation coming into the series. But as Finch said: “You got to play basketball. I'm sure there's going to be a lot of physicality, some of it, certainly, on the edge of legality. Certainly there's going to be a lot of things said on the floor or outside the game itself. We got folks who play basketball. That's what we got to do.”
Even if Gobert isn’t effective, it isn’t the end of the world for the Wolves, whose strength is their ability to shape shift their lineups and styles of play given their depth.
TIRED LEGS VS. FRESH ONES
The Wolves enter this series the better-rested team with home-court advantage. They’ve had multiple practices and rest days to prepare, while the Warriors are coming off a grueling seven-game series against the Houston Rockets with just one day off. How much of an advantage can that be in a series?
“We've seen the schedule, and we know it's gonna be every other day before a game,” Alexander-Walker said. “So that mindset, and with the time that we've had off, now, you want to bank, bank, stock up on all the recovery. Stock up on all the rest, whatever it is you need to do workouts, etc., to be fresh, to get it going. When it starts, I think by that time it's too late. We have the advantage.”
The Wolves made the Lakers look tired late in games and later as the series continued. Given the age of the Warriors’ top players (Butler is 35, Curry is 37, Green is 35), perhaps this series will also be a battle of attrition. That would favor the Wolves, at least on the surface.